Booming, but for how long?
Much has been written on the prospects for AustraliadzԹs coalbed methane industry (CBM, called coal seam gas in Australia) and many billions of dollars has already been invested. But at least one , from business news site MarketWatch, argues, it may not all be plain sailing as the worlddzԹs two largest economies dzԹ the US and China dzԹ start to exploit the enormous reserves of shale gas both are sitting on.
dzԹA few years ago we all thought the US would be a net importer of gas dzԹ how wrong could we have been,dzԹ said Simon Powell, head of Asian oil and gas at CLSA in Hong Kong, speaking to MarketWatch. dzԹThe US could become a meaningful exporter in the next five years. The question is how big? North America is a meaningful threat to AustraliadzԹs aspirations,dzԹ he said.
The other threat is China, which as both CBM and shale reserves. dzԹWedzԹve all been shocked at how much shale the US fields have spat out [but] China might be sitting on a shale reserve that makes the US shale reserve look small,dzԹ Powell said. dzԹIf the Chinese find out they have a lot of shale, you could see the Chinese say [to Australia]: Thanks a lot, we found the mother of all shale reserves, we dondzԹt need you anymore.dzԹ
The Australian CBM industry also faces domestic challenges including a national skills shortage that is pushing up costs and delaying projects throughout the countrydzԹs natural resource sector. There has been an increase in environmental and popular opposition to CBM drilling.
dzԹLNG plants are very complex, high-end pieces of kit. Are there enough electricians to build all these things? Is there really enough gas [in the Queensland fields] for all the trains that are on the drawing board, and will the farmers let them dig it up?dzԹ Powell asked.
So, all is not certain. But dondzԹt count out Australian yet. China still has a long way to go in developing its unconventional resources, and itdzԹs not completely clear whether the US government will actually allow exports of LNG. The US Department of Energy is yet to make a decision on the matter, which is becoming increasingly political. Lawmakers from both the House of Representatives and Senate have raised concerns that LNG exports could raise domestic gas prices and hurt manufacturing industries that rely on natural gas.
Read the article online at: /business-news/28022012/australia-lng-industry-faces-competition-from-us-and-chinese-shale-gas/
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